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Charismatic Leadership in the Middle East and North Africa in the 21st Century: Regional Specifics and Prospects for the Evolution of the Phenomenon

机译:在21世纪中东和北非的魅力领导:区域细节和前景的现象的演变

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摘要

The article deals with authoritarian regimes based on charismatic leadership which can be also called caesarean. It analyzes the existing caesarean regimes of the Middle East and North Africa: their nature (progressive vs. conservative), characteristic features and prospects of their evolution. To achieve this goal the author uses a synthetic analytical approach based on ideas of Max Weber and Antonio Gramshi. This approach includes analysis of a number of key factors, such as conditions for eruption of a charismatic leader ('Caesar'), sources of legitimization, mechanisms of control and power transit, progressive or conservative nature of the regime, potential for turning the caesarean regime into a permanent one based on tradition of charismatic rule. The main conclusion of the paper is that the Middle East and North Africa are witnessing the arrival of the third generation of charismatic leaders, who will follow conservative instead of progressive agenda. On the regional scale it will bring relative stability to international relations (at least among the Arab states) while at domestic level the pressure of unresolved political, economic and social problems will be mounting resulting in a new wave of revolutions and instability in the midterm.
机译:本文涉及基于魅力领导的专制政权,该领导也可以称为剖腹产。它分析了中东和北非现有的剖腹产权:他们的性质(进步与保守),特征特征和进化前景。为了实现这一目标,提交人使用基于Max Weber和Antonio Gramshi的想法的综合分析方法。这种方法包括分析许多关键因素,例如魅力爆发的条件(“凯撒”),合法化的来源,控制权机制,政权的进步或保守性,转向剖反的可能性基于富有魅力规则的传统,制度进入永久性的。本文的主要结论是,中东和北非目睹了第三代魅力领导人的到来,遵循保守而不是进步议程。在区域规模上,它将带​​来国际关系(至少在阿拉伯国家)的相对稳定,而在国内层面,未解决的政治,经济和社会问题的压力将是在中期的新革命和不稳定性的过程中。

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