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Nonlinear Exchange Rate Adjustment and the Monetary Model

机译:非线性汇率调整与货币模型

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摘要

Although the empirical literature has delivered evidence in favor of nonlinearities in nominal and real exchange rate adjustment, the corresponding mechanisms with respect to the relationship between nominal exchange rates and fundamentals in general have rarely been put under any close scrutiny. This paper extends the work of other authors, who estimate exponential smooth transition autoregressive models to deviations of the exchange rate from monetary fundamentals. Using monthly data from 1976:01 to 2010:12 for the USA, UK, and Japan, this paper first adopts a cointegrated vector autoregression (VAR) framework to test for the multivariate validity of the monetary model by applying restrictions on the long-run relationships. Then, nonlinear vector error correction models are estimated to tackle the question of whether the adjustment of the nominal exchange rate with respect to those relationships follows a nonlinear path.
机译:尽管经验文献已经提供了支持名义和实际汇率调整非线性的证据,但有关名义汇率和基本面之间关系的相应机制总体上很少受到严格审查。本文扩展了其他作者的工作,他们估计指数平滑过渡自回归模型到汇率与货币基本面的偏离。本文使用美国,英国和日本的1976:01到2010:12的月度数据,首先采用协整矢量自回归(VAR)框架,通过对长期利率施加限制来检验货币模型的多元有效性。关系。然后,估计非线性矢量误差校正模型以解决关于这些关系的名义汇率调整是否遵循非线性路径的问题。

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  • 来源
    《Review of international economics》 |2013年第4期|654-670|共17页
  • 作者

    Joscha Beckmann;

  • 作者单位

    University of Duisburg-Essen, Department of Economics, Chair for Macroeconomics,45117 Essen, Germany;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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