首页> 外文学位 >Essays in OCA analysis---An OCA in East Asia.
【24h】

Essays in OCA analysis---An OCA in East Asia.

机译:OCA分析中的论文---东亚的OCA。

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例

摘要

The dissertation focuses on some OCA properties of ASEAN + 3 countries and examines those of European countries as empirical evidence of the working of endogenous OCA theory. Chapter 2 examines business cycle synchronization by using the time horizon of output growth that is consistent with the time lag of policies. While short run output fluctuations should be left for automatic stabilizers such as taxes and marginal propensity to import, discrete policies should stabilize output in the medium and long run. Therefore, the ideal level of output growth correlations should be low in the short run and high in the medium and long run. The ASEAN group complied with the hypothesis better than the East Asian group. As a robustness check, deviations from trend (by an HP filter) were calculated. The results of European countries do not provide evidence of strong OCA endogeneity.;Moreover, instead of predetermining the subgroups, combinations of different numbers (3-6) of countries were searched to find those with the greatest difference between annual growth correlations and 2-year growth correlations as well as between annual and 3-year growth correlations. Smaller groups (3-4 countries) comprised of ASEAN countries and some East Asian countries were joined in the larger groups (5-6 countries).;Chapter 3 investigated the extent of financial integration since regional capital markets enable risk-sharing across countries and lessen the need for output stabilization. Comparing the levels of short-run and medium-run consumption growth and those of output growth implied that financial markets in Asia are not well-integrated. Surprisingly, neither results were different in the European case.;Chapter 4 analyzed the role of trade as an underlying factor in increasing business synchronization of countries within a currency union. One emerging trend in Asia is the vertical integration of production that leads to intra-industry trade. It is possible that the comovements of added values in participating countries are driven by external factors such as demand in the U.S. due to the network of production sharing. This is something more fundamental than traditional import and export transactions. However, the results from panel regressions show that FDIs in this region contribute negatively to the output comovements between countries.
机译:本文着眼于东盟+ 3国家的一些OCA特性,并考察了欧洲国家作为内源OCA理论工作的经验证据。第2章通过使用与策略的时滞一致的输出增长的时间范围来检查业务周期同步。尽管应为税收和边际进口倾向等自动稳定器留出短期的产出波动,但分立政策应在中长期内稳定产出。因此,短期内产出增长相关性的理想水平应较低,而中长期则应较高。东盟集团比东亚集团更好地遵守了这一假设。作为稳健性检查,计算了与趋势的偏差(通过HP过滤器)。欧洲国家的结果并未提供强有力的OCA内生性的证据。此外,与其预先确定亚组,而是搜索了不同数量(3-6个)的国家/地区组合,以找出年度增长相关性与2个国家/地区之间差异最大的国家/地区年增长相关性以及年度和3年增长相关性。由东盟国家和一些东亚国家组成的较小群体(3-4个国家)加入了较大的群体(5-6个国家)。;第三章研究了金融一体化的程度,因为区域资本市场实现了国家之间的风险共担。减少了对输出稳定的需求。将短期和中期消费增长水平与产出增长水平进行比较,就意味着亚洲金融市场的整合程度不高。出乎意料的是,在欧洲情况下,结果都不相同。第4章分析了贸易作为增加货币联盟内国家之间业务同步的根本因素的作用。亚洲的一种新兴趋势是生产的垂直整合,从而导致了产业内贸易。由于生产共享网络的存在,参与国中附加值的变动可能是由外部因素驱动的,例如美国的需求。这比传统的进出口交易更为根本。但是,面板回归的结果表明,该区域的外国直接投资对国家之间的产出联动产生负面影响。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号